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Fantasy Racing: Phoenix

Nick Bromberg | Senior Writer, RacinToday.com Friday, April 9 2010

Subway Fresh Fit 600K
Saturday April 10, 2010
6:30 PM ET, Fox

Race Facts: Hendrick Motorsports has won the last six races here at Phoenix… According to NASCAR’s stats, through the first six races this year there have been 332 green flag passes for the lead. Last year there were 89… This year’s race is 100 kilometers longer than last year’s… 14 of the 27 Phoenix races have been won from top 10 starting positions.

Five to Drive:

Denny Hamlin: This is probably a really stupid pick, but Hamlin posted the fastest speed in Friday’s practice and no matter how long he drives, you’ll get the points for him. Casey Mears is more than capable of getting the car into the top 15 if Hamlin can’t make it the distance, so don’t be too skeptical of choosing Hamlin this weekend.

Tony Stewart: Stewart won in his first trip to Phoenix in 1999 but hasn’t been back to victory lane since. However, he’s still one of the best drivers in the circuit at Phoenix and has finished second in this race two of the last three years.

Mark Martin: He and Jeff Gordon are the only two Hendrick drivers other than Jimmie Johnson who have won in those six Hendrick victories, and Martin very well could claim a seventh straight Hendrick victory. Since finishing 36th in his first start at Phoenix in 1988, Martin hasn’t finished outside the top 20.

Greg Biffle: Biffle hasn’t been spectacular at Phoenix, but he does have two second place finishes in his career and has only finished outside the top 15 three times. He may not win you the race on Saturday night, but he’ll get you a top 10.

Kyle Busch: Outside of 2006, where Busch finished 36th and 38th in the two Phoenix races, Kyle has been one of the best drivers here. He’s still figuring things out with crew chief Dave Rogers and he’s been real feast or famine lately, but given his track record at this track, I’d bet heavily that it will be a good result.

Two to Boo:

Juan Pablo Montoya: Montoya’s highest finish at Phoenix is eighth, and that was in last year’s fall race. Otherwise, his highest finish is 16th. Montoya’s had a terrible run of luck so far in 2010, and given the past and that string of luck, stay away until he starts to turn things around.

Matt Kenseth: Kenseth strung together three straight top fives in 2006 and 2007, but sandwiched around those good results is some really moldy bread. In the four races before that stretch he had three finishes of 32nd or worse and in the last four races hasn’t finished higher than 15th.

Stone Cold Lock of the Week:

Carl Edwards: While Edwards has been more than adequate at Phoenix (the closest he’s come to winning are three fourth place finishes) he’s spent the most time of anyone this year on the lead lap and while he hasn’t been as quick as has in the past, the consistency is there. I think Edwards will find that quickness Saturday night and get his first win in over a year and lock himself into the All-Star race.

Nick Bromberg | Senior Writer, RacinToday.com Friday, April 9 2010
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